Thursday, July 30, 2020

What's with the Greens?

It is disheartening to see the Greens try to derail the NDP’s efforts to eliminate some of the worst aspects of the previous government’s Clean Energy plan – in particular the NDP’s proposal to eliminate the self-sufficiency requirement that the Clean Energy Plan imposed on BC Hydro.

The self-sufficiency requirement called on BC Hydro to develop or contract for firm electricity supply from BC sources sufficient to meet forecast BC demand. It sounds harmless enough but it is hard to overstate how misguided and costly that policy has been.

Self-sufficiency was never needed to ensure reliable supply. If security of supply was the concern, the requirement should have been directed to ensuring BC Hydro had sufficient dependable peak generating capacity to meet sustained peak loads. But it was silent on that critical issue, focussed instead on the supply of energy regardless of when it was produced. That suited BC’s private run-of-river power producers, who could provide energy (unfortunately for BC Hydro customers disproportionately in the springtime when least needed), but little dependable peak generating capacity mid-winter when most needed.

There was the telltale sign that this requirement had nothing to do with reliability when it precluded BC Hydro from relying, if ever needed, on the province’s entitlement to the downstream power benefits under the Columbia River Treaty, a source of supply guaranteed under international treaty agreement and easily as reliable as contracted supply from BC sources of supply.

Nor was the self-sufficiency requirement cost-effective for BC Hydro customers. It had the predictable (indeed intended) effect of forcing BC Hydro to buy high cost, low value electricity it did not need.  The financially losses BC Hydro incurred as a result have been staggering. The average cost of the power BC Hydro was forced to buy averaged over $125/ megawatt hour, more now with the inflation provisions in the contracts. That power is worth less than $25/ megawatt hour – the losses, that have to made up for in higher than necessary BC Hydro rates, are in the hundreds of millions of dollars per year.

It was, pure and simple, a scheme by government and their developer friends to create an artificial market for what the developers could provide – all at the expense of consumers. We used to call that Mercantalist protectionism. I suppose today it could be better described as Trumpian economics, with its veil of national, in this case provincial, security of supply.

Perhaps the Greens believe circumstances are different now. They are, but if anything current developments provide an even stronger argument to eliminate the misguided self-sufficiency requirement imposed on BC Hydro. The explosion of solar and wind development in Alberta and the western United States is at times producing large amounts of surplus that can be purchased at very low prices. During high wind events and periods of high solar production prices can fall to zero – even go negative. With its large reservoir capacity BC Hydro is uniquely capable of taking advantage of this low-cost supply whenever available. Self-sufficiency only impedes BC Hydro’s ability to do so.

One would think that the Greens, of all parties, would understand the need to acquire electricity at the lowest possible cost in order to maintain low electricity rates and encourage the electrification in transport and industry we need to meet our GHG reduction targets. For that we should be doing the exact opposite of self-sufficiency. We should be expanding our interconnection capacity and freeing up BC Hydro’s ability to acquire clean energy at the lowest possible cost from wherever it is available.

That’s doesn’t mean there won’t be private or community power developments in BC. There will – when and where they are economic. It is true BC Hydro could do much more in making available low cost transmission and back-up services in order that developers could undertake power projects on their own. But the government should end the craziness of forcing BC Hydro to buy power that it does not need for reliability, that is not economic, and that limits its ability to take advantage of the exceptionally low cost renewable energy increasingly available in neighbouring jurisdictions.